FK Liepāja vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
LIE
3 - 0
FCS
40%
24%
36%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
FKJ
3 - 0
LIE
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2014 |
FKS
2 - 0
LIE
31%
27%
42%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
LIE
0 - 3
FCD
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
FKD
4 - 0
LIE
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
FSM
1 - 1
BFC
36%
26%
37%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
BFC
0 - 1
FKD
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2014 |
BFC
1 - 1
FCJ
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
VEN
0 - 1
BFC
72%
19%
9%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2014 |
FCD
2 - 1
BFC
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |