FK Liepāja vs FK Auda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
39.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
7º
10º
7º
38
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 89 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 80 |
2º
|
96% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 68 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 53 |
4º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 46 |
5º
|
82.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 40 |
6º
|
45% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 36 |
8º
|
37% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 33 |
9º
|
45% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 25 |
10º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
AUD
3 - 0
LIE
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 0
LIE
58%
22%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 2
LIE
27%
25%
48%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LIE
3 - 1
FKT
55%
24%
22%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 2
LIE
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
AUD
3 - 0
LIE
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
AUD
2 - 0
GRO
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
AUD
2 - 2
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 4
AUD
24%
26%
49%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 1
AUD
24%
23%
53%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |