FK Liepāja vs FK Auda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
28.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
7º
10º
7º
38
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 89 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 80 |
2º
|
96% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 68 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 53 |
4º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 46 |
5º
|
82.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 40 |
6º
|
45% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 36 |
8º
|
37% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 33 |
9º
|
45% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 25 |
10º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
4 - 0
LIE
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 3
RIG
31%
25%
44%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FSM
2 - 0
LIE
19%
24%
58%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 2
FKT
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
HLI
2 - 1
LIE
40%
23%
37%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
AUD
3 - 1
VAL
33%
25%
42%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
GRO
1 - 1
AUD
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
AUD
54%
24%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 2
RIG
32%
25%
43%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
FCV
2 - 0
AUD
43%
24%
33%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |