FK Liepāja vs FK Auda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
17.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
7º
5º
58
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
LIE
3 - 2
JGV
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
RIG
2 - 0
LIE
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 3
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
KZA
2 - 2
LIE
35%
25%
40%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
LIE
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 0
RIG
34%
26%
41%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
AUD
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 4
VAL
30%
24%
46%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FSM
0 - 2
AUD
20%
26%
54%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
AUD
2 - 0
SUP
79%
14%
7%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |