Levski Krumovgrad vs Spartak Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
14º
11º
32
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 76 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 60 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 58 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 58 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 50 |
5º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 46 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 44 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 42 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 39 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 38 |
10º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 32 |
11º
|
35% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 31 |
12º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 28 |
13º
|
33% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 23 |
14º
|
39% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 22 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 17 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 2% |
|
Next round
|
4% | 88% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
96% | 10% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levski Krumovgrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
OBO
0 - 1
FLK
12%
20%
69%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
HEB
0 - 0
FLK
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 0
FLK
38%
28%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
FLK
1 - 1
CSK
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LPL
0 - 2
FLK
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
SAY
0 - 4
SVA
6%
12%
83%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
SVA
1 - 0
LPL
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
BER
3 - 0
SVA
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SVA
3 - 2
LSO
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
SEP
0 - 1
SVA
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |