Kvant vs Arsenal Tula II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
68.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
12º
14º
14º
27
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 63 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 58 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 54 |
3º
|
57% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 51 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 43 |
5º
|
44.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 39 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 39 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 35 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 34 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 34 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 32 |
12º
|
37% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 25 |
13º
|
64.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
15 | 19 |
14º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 15 |
15º
|
80% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
81% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
19% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kvant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
ZEN
3 - 0
FKO
57%
21%
22%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FKO
0 - 3
SPA
32%
23%
45%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
KPP
3 - 2
FKO
79%
12%
9%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FKO
0 - 1
KHI
20%
21%
59%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FDV
4 - 1
FKO
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
ARS
0 - 0
SKA
66%
18%
16%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ORE
2 - 1
ARS
17%
19%
65%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ARS
4 - 1
SAL
25%
25%
50%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +3 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ZVE
1 - 2
ARS
43%
23%
34%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ARS
2 - 0
FKK
33%
25%
42%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +3 |