FK Krasnodar vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
10.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Krasnodar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
VIT
2 - 0
KRA
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
NOS
4 - 0
KRA
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -2 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
KRA
0 - 0
BAL
60%
24%
17%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
KRA
1 - 3
YAR
53%
27%
20%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
KRA
1 - 2
SPA
25%
23%
53%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
NOS
0 - 1
CHE
62%
23%
15%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
VIT
4 - 1
CHE
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
CHE
1 - 1
YAR
28%
29%
43%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
CHE
0 - 3
BAL
38%
28%
33%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2009 |
NIZ
1 - 0
CHE
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |