Khimik-Avgust vs Ural II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
2º
2º
13
4º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 11 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
24 | 10 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 4 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 3 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 2 |
6º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 78.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Khimik-Avgust
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
NOS
0 - 3
FKK
26%
21%
54%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ORE
1 - 3
FKK
28%
21%
51%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
URA
1 - 2
FKK
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 1
PER
18%
25%
57%
|
36 | 67 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
DIN
0 - 2
FKK
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Ural II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
URA
1 - 1
ORE
71%
17%
13%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ZEN
2 - 0
URA
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
URA
1 - 2
FKK
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MIA
0 - 1
URA
45%
22%
33%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
NOS
2 - 0
URA
23%
23%
55%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -2 |