Khimik-Avgust vs Torpedo Miass analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
36.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
3º
12º
10º
28
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Khimik-Avgust
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
FKK
1 - 4
KHI
37%
22%
41%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 3
NOS
54%
21%
25%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
IRT
3 - 0
FKK
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
FCC
5 - 0
FKK
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FKK
2 - 2
NOS
69%
16%
15%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Torpedo Miass
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MIA
2 - 1
PER
17%
25%
58%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MIA
3 - 0
NOS
62%
19%
19%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
MIA
3 - 2
DIN
48%
22%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MIA
0 - 4
IRT
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ORE
0 - 0
MIA
40%
22%
38%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |