Q. Europa League Ronda previa Final
Global 3-3
Kareda Kaunas vs NK Olimpija Ljubljana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
22.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kareda Kaunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1999 |
FKK
3 - 0
BAN
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1999 |
NKO
1 - 1
FKK
60%
21%
20%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1999 |
FKK
1 - 1
INK
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1999 |
FKE
1 - 0
FKK
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 1999 |
FKK
2 - 4
FBK
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
NK Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
NKM
3 - 0
NKO
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
GOR
2 - 1
NKO
60%
21%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1999 |
NKO
1 - 1
FKK
60%
21%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1999 |
NKO
5 - 0
BEL
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 1999 |
POH
0 - 3
NKO
28%
24%
49%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |