Kara-Balta vs Aldier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
29.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+109%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kara-Balta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
NEF
1 - 2
KBA
78%
15%
7%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KBA
1 - 1
TAL
24%
22%
54%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
KBA
0 - 1
MUR
16%
18%
66%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
FKA
2 - 2
KBA
83%
12%
5%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 0
KBA
86%
10%
4%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Aldier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TAL
1 - 1
ALD
70%
17%
13%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 0
ALD
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
ALD
2 - 2
ALG
19%
20%
61%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ALD
1 - 2
MUR
16%
18%
66%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
ALD
0 - 1
DBI
15%
18%
67%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |