Kara-Balta vs Ilbirs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
58.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+109%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kara-Balta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
DBI
1 - 0
KBA
88%
9%
3%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
KBA
0 - 1
ALG
14%
19%
67%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
FTS
2 - 1
KBA
71%
17%
12%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
TAL
3 - 0
KBA
78%
14%
9%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
KBA
1 - 4
DBI
11%
17%
72%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Ilbirs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
FTS
1 - 2
TAL
35%
24%
42%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
FTS
4 - 0
ALD
65%
19%
17%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
FTS
1 - 2
DBI
18%
21%
62%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
FTS
2 - 1
KBA
71%
17%
12%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
MUR
3 - 1
FTS
67%
18%
15%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |