Kara-Balta vs Neftchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
74.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kara-Balta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
FKA
4 - 2
KBA
89%
9%
3%
|
8 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
NEF
2 - 3
KBA
84%
13%
4%
|
6 | 27 | 21 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
KBA
1 - 2
MUR
8%
14%
79%
|
6 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
KBA
2 - 6
ALG
8%
18%
74%
|
7 | 27 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
ALD
3 - 0
KBA
53%
20%
27%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
ALG
0 - 1
NEF
47%
24%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
NEF
2 - 3
KBA
84%
13%
4%
|
27 | 6 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
NEF
0 - 0
FKA
33%
25%
43%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
FTS
1 - 1
NEF
17%
22%
61%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
DBI
3 - 0
NEF
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |