FS Jelgava vs Valmiera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Draw
0-0
18.9%
0
18.9%
81.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
31.5%
-1
31.5%
0-2
26.2%
-2
26.2%
0-3
14.6%
-3
14.6%
0-4
6.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
2%
-5
2%
0-6
0.6%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
9º
6º
53
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
FKJ
1 - 0
ALB
48%
25%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
PAN
1 - 0
FKJ
72%
18%
11%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
KUR
3 - 1
FKJ
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FKJ
0 - 2
BAN
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FKJ
0 - 6
RIG
13%
19%
68%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
FSM
76%
17%
8%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 2
VAL
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 0
BFC
79%
15%
6%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
FKT
0 - 0
VAL
13%
20%
67%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
AUD
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |