FS Jelgava vs FK Liepāja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
55%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
5º
10º
10º
28
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 89 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 82 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 67 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 57 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 44 |
5º
|
95% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 36 |
6º
|
38.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 36 |
7º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 34 |
9º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
21 | 25 |
10º
|
98% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 75% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 24.5% |
|
Relegation
|
98% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 0
FKJ
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
AUD
0 - 1
FKJ
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
FKJ
1 - 5
CAR
16%
24%
60%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
FKJ
1 - 2
RIG
14%
22%
64%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FSM
3 - 0
FKJ
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2024 |
LIE
3 - 0
GRO
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 3
VAL
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 1
LIE
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 1
CAR
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
RIG
4 - 1
LIE
54%
24%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |