FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
38.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
5º
10º
10º
38
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 88 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 80 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 54 |
4º
|
95% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 46 |
5º
|
81% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
45% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 38 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 35 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
9º
|
49% | |
|
|
10º
|
21 | 26 |
10º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
90% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
GRO
2 - 3
FKJ
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LIE
3 - 0
FKJ
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 4
VAL
13%
22%
66%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FKJ
1 - 3
AUD
16%
26%
59%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
6 - 1
FKJ
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 2
LIE
34%
26%
40%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 1
BFC
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 0
BFC
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
BFC
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
BFC
73%
16%
11%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |