FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
FCS
0 - 3
FKJ
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
FCD
1 - 0
FKJ
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
FKJ
0 - 0
FKS
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
FKJ
1 - 0
LIE
46%
27%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
FKJ
1 - 1
FSM
77%
16%
7%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BFC
1 - 0
FKS
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
LIE
5 - 0
BFC
68%
20%
11%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
BFC
4 - 1
FSM
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
FKD
4 - 2
BFC
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
FCJ
1 - 1
BFC
39%
25%
35%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |