Istra vs Nara-ShBFR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
IST
0 - 0
DIN
32%
25%
43%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
DNE
1 - 1
IST
24%
24%
52%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2010 |
LOK
4 - 1
IST
49%
23%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 Jun. 2010 |
IST
3 - 0
SPA
41%
27%
32%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Jun. 2010 |
IST
2 - 1
TEK
60%
23%
18%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Nara-ShBFR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
NAR
0 - 0
LOK
26%
25%
49%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2010 |
DNE
2 - 2
NAR
39%
26%
35%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2010 |
NAR
2 - 0
TEK
43%
26%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2010 |
NAR
0 - 0
SPA
23%
26%
51%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
DVO
0 - 0
NAR
63%
22%
16%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |