Irkutsk vs Zenit II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
39.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
16º
4º
37
2º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 63 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 62 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 55 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 55 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 53 |
5º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 53 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 47 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 47 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 47 |
9º
|
35% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 41 |
10º
|
57% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 36 |
11º
|
60.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 29 |
12º
|
49.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 29 |
13º
|
44.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 26 |
14º
|
74% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 15 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 12 |
16º
|
79.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irkutsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
ZSP
1 - 1
FKI
35%
22%
44%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
FKI
1 - 0
ROM
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
LUK
0 - 0
FKI
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
FKI
2 - 2
FBK
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
FKI
0 - 4
SAT
48%
21%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Zenit II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
ZEN
1 - 4
SPA
16%
21%
63%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
ZEN
1 - 0
TVE
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
ZSP
1 - 4
ZEN
26%
25%
50%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
ZEN
1 - 1
ROM
55%
22%
23%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
LUK
0 - 0
ZEN
22%
25%
53%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |