Irkutsk vs Rodina Moskva III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
35.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
3º
16º
3º
31
3º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 65 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 62 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 55 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 54 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 53 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 51 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 47 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 46 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 44 |
9º
|
35% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 39 |
10º
|
45.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 36 |
11º
|
45.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 30 |
12º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 29 |
13º
|
52% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 26 |
14º
|
79.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 15 |
15º
|
71% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 12 |
16º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irkutsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
LUK
0 - 0
FKI
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
FKI
2 - 2
FBK
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
FKI
0 - 4
SAT
48%
21%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
ZNA
0 - 1
FKI
36%
22%
42%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
FYK
1 - 2
FKI
24%
21%
55%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Rodina Moskva III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
ROM
1 - 1
SPA
16%
21%
63%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
ZEN
1 - 1
ROM
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
ROM
5 - 1
ZSP
43%
23%
34%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ROM
0 - 0
TVE
54%
22%
24%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
LUK
2 - 1
ROM
29%
22%
49%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |