Irkutsk vs Baltika II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+90%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
8º
16º
9º
30
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 70 |
1º
|
80.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 65 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 57 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 52 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 49 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 49 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 44 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 41 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 41 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 39 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 38 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 32 |
12º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 26 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 23 |
14º
|
27% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 21 |
15º
|
40.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 14 |
16º
|
73.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irkutsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
FKI
0 - 4
SAT
48%
21%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
ZNA
0 - 1
FKI
36%
22%
42%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
FYK
1 - 2
FKI
24%
21%
55%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 1
FKI
56%
23%
22%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
FKI
3 - 3
DIN
35%
22%
43%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Baltika II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
FBK
0 - 3
SPA
17%
22%
61%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ZEN
3 - 3
FBK
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
FBK
1 - 0
ZSP
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ROM
2 - 0
FBK
30%
27%
43%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FBK
1 - 0
LUK
56%
24%
21%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |