Ilpar Ilyinsky vs Zvezda Perm II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.7%
Win probability
3.56
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.2%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.6%
3.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
8º
3º
14
9º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 17 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 17 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilpar Ilyinsky
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
FAS
0 - 5
FII
8%
14%
78%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SKO
0 - 2
FII
16%
18%
66%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FII
7 - 0
IRT
87%
9%
4%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
TOB
1 - 0
FII
18%
18%
64%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FII
5 - 2
UFA
75%
14%
11%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Zvezda Perm II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SZP
1 - 2
FKT
27%
21%
52%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FMA
6 - 1
SZP
88%
9%
4%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
SZP
2 - 2
FCC
14%
18%
68%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
MMM
0 - 0
SZP
86%
10%
4%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SZP
3 - 0
FAS
65%
17%
17%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |