Humenné vs Zlaté Moravce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
11º
14º
11º
16
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
11 | 49 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
|
1º
|
16 | 47 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 47 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 46 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 38 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 38 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 38 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 36 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 35 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 32 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
2 | 25 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 25 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 24 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 21 |
14º
|
37% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 21% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 20% |
|
Mid-table
|
67% | 59% |
|
Relegation
|
32.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Humenné
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ZVO
2 - 1
FKH
20%
27%
53%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FKH
2 - 2
PUC
41%
26%
34%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MAL
2 - 1
FKH
27%
27%
46%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SNI
0 - 1
FKH
22%
23%
56%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
TES
0 - 3
FKH
25%
24%
52%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Zlaté Moravce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ZMO
2 - 2
TAT
30%
27%
44%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
PET
0 - 1
ZMO
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
STL
0 - 2
ZMO
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SKA
1 - 0
ZMO
63%
22%
16%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 1
ZMO
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |