Humenné vs Púchov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
11º
14º
11º
6
7º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
11 | 49 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 47 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 47 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 46 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 38 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 38 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 38 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 36 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
|
11º
|
6 | 35 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 32 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
2 | 25 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 25 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 24 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 21 |
14º
|
37% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
67% | 94% |
|
Relegation
|
32.5% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Humenné
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MAL
2 - 1
FKH
27%
27%
46%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SNI
0 - 1
FKH
22%
23%
56%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
TES
0 - 3
FKH
25%
24%
52%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
FKH
1 - 1
POP
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
FKH
3 - 1
ZEM
30%
25%
45%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Púchov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
PUC
0 - 1
TAT
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
PUC
2 - 0
TRI
43%
24%
34%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PUC
4 - 0
ZBR
27%
22%
51%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
PUC
5 - 0
KFK
56%
22%
23%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
PUC
2 - 2
TRE
16%
20%
64%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |