Gubkin vs Znamya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gubkin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2010 |
NIM
1 - 2
FKG
13%
21%
67%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2010 |
FKG
3 - 2
APO
27%
25%
47%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
ORE
1 - 1
FKG
45%
26%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2010 |
FKG
2 - 2
ZVE
62%
22%
16%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2010 |
MET
2 - 1
FKG
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Znamya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2010 |
ZNA
2 - 4
VIT
10%
19%
71%
|
22 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2010 |
ZEN
2 - 1
ZNA
62%
22%
16%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
ZNA
3 - 4
KOS
33%
27%
39%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2010 |
MET
3 - 1
ZNA
78%
15%
7%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2010 |
ZNA
2 - 3
LOK
27%
28%
46%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |