Gubkin vs Zenit Penza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gubkin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
AVA
1 - 1
FKG
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
TOR
1 - 0
FKG
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
FKG
1 - 0
SPA
73%
18%
9%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2010 |
FKG
1 - 0
VIT
25%
25%
51%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
ZEN
1 - 2
FKG
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Zenit Penza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ZEN
0 - 0
LOK
48%
27%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
FAK
3 - 1
ZEN
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
ZEN
2 - 0
KAL
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2010 |
TOR
4 - 0
ZEN
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
ZEN
1 - 2
FKG
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |