Gubkin vs Zenit Penza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gubkin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2010 |
KOS
2 - 1
FKG
25%
26%
49%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
FKG
3 - 1
MET
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2010 |
LOK
1 - 2
FKG
41%
26%
34%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2010 |
FKG
4 - 0
ZNA
78%
15%
7%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2010 |
NIM
1 - 2
FKG
13%
21%
67%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Zenit Penza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2010 |
ZEN
1 - 1
VIT
12%
20%
68%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2010 |
ZEN
2 - 2
SPA
62%
22%
16%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2010 |
KOS
1 - 1
ZEN
39%
27%
35%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2010 |
ZEN
2 - 0
MET
30%
26%
44%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 Jun. 2010 |
LOK
3 - 3
ZEN
62%
21%
16%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |