Gubkin vs Spartak Tambov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gubkin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
FCM
1 - 1
FKG
26%
26%
48%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2012 |
FKG
1 - 0
ORE
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2012 |
FKG
2 - 0
VIT
34%
25%
42%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2012 |
SOK
0 - 3
FKG
47%
26%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
FKG
1 - 0
ZVE
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Spartak Tambov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
SPA
0 - 4
AVA
21%
24%
55%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2012 |
SOK
4 - 0
SPA
55%
24%
22%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2012 |
POD
2 - 1
SPA
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2012 |
SPA
1 - 0
SAL
20%
26%
54%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
ORE
3 - 1
SPA
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |