Gubkin vs Spartak Tambov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gubkin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2010 |
FKG
1 - 0
VIT
25%
25%
51%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
ZEN
1 - 2
FKG
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2010 |
FKG
3 - 1
KOS
66%
21%
14%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
MET
2 - 0
FKG
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
FKG
1 - 2
LOK
54%
25%
21%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Spartak Tambov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2010 |
APO
3 - 0
SPA
72%
18%
10%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 2
VIT
11%
19%
70%
|
28 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2010 |
ORE
3 - 0
SPA
53%
25%
23%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
SPA
0 - 1
ZEN
27%
26%
48%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
ZVE
3 - 2
SPA
51%
26%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |