Gubkin vs FK Orel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gubkin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
ZVE
1 - 4
FKG
23%
26%
52%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
FKG
1 - 0
MET
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
FAK
2 - 2
FKG
27%
26%
47%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
FKG
2 - 0
KAL
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 3
FKG
27%
25%
47%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
ORE
0 - 2
VIT
11%
20%
69%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
ZEN
4 - 0
ORE
47%
25%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
ORE
1 - 1
KOS
45%
26%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
MET
1 - 0
ORE
62%
21%
16%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
ORE
1 - 1
ZNA
72%
18%
10%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |