Gubkin vs Metallurg Oskol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gubkin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
ZVE
0 - 0
FKG
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2013 |
FKG
1 - 2
KAL
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
ZEN
1 - 0
FKG
37%
27%
36%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
FKG
1 - 1
POD
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
LOK
1 - 3
FKG
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Metallurg Oskol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
MET
2 - 1
AVA
25%
25%
50%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2013 |
SOK
0 - 0
MET
68%
20%
13%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
MET
1 - 0
FAK
17%
24%
59%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ARS
1 - 1
MET
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
MET
2 - 1
VIT
18%
22%
60%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +4 |