Gubkin vs Metallurg Oskol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gubkin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
FAK
2 - 2
FKG
27%
26%
47%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
FKG
2 - 0
KAL
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 3
FKG
27%
25%
47%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 1
FKG
68%
21%
12%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2010 |
FKG
2 - 2
ZEN
62%
22%
17%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Metallurg Oskol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
MET
2 - 2
VIT
20%
22%
57%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
ZEN
0 - 0
MET
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
MET
1 - 1
MET
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2010 |
LOK
2 - 1
MET
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2010 |
MET
4 - 2
ZNA
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |