Gubkin vs Metallurg Lipetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gubkin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
POD
3 - 1
FKG
30%
25%
46%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
FKG
4 - 2
SAL
30%
28%
42%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2011 |
ORE
2 - 2
FKG
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
FKG
1 - 1
KAL
60%
23%
18%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2011 |
SPA
0 - 0
FKG
16%
23%
61%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Metallurg Lipetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
MET
2 - 1
LOK
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
MET
0 - 3
MET
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2011 |
POD
3 - 4
MET
35%
26%
40%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
MET
0 - 2
SAL
31%
28%
41%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2011 |
ORE
0 - 0
MET
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |