Gubkin vs Metallurg Lipetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gubkin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2010 |
LOK
1 - 2
FKG
41%
26%
34%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2010 |
FKG
4 - 0
ZNA
78%
15%
7%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2010 |
NIM
1 - 2
FKG
13%
21%
67%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2010 |
FKG
3 - 2
APO
27%
25%
47%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
ORE
1 - 1
FKG
45%
26%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Metallurg Lipetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2010 |
MET
4 - 3
VIT
19%
24%
57%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2010 |
ZEN
2 - 0
MET
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2010 |
MET
2 - 1
KOS
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2010 |
MET
0 - 1
SPA
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
LOK
3 - 1
MET
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |