Gubkin vs Kaluga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gubkin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2013 |
ZEN
1 - 0
FKG
37%
27%
36%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
FKG
1 - 1
POD
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
LOK
1 - 3
FKG
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
MET
2 - 2
FKG
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
FKG
1 - 3
AVA
45%
26%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Kaluga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2013 |
KAL
2 - 3
AVA
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
SOK
3 - 0
KAL
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
KAL
0 - 1
FAK
34%
27%
39%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
ARS
2 - 0
KAL
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
KAL
3 - 0
VIT
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |