Gubkin vs Kaluga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gubkin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SPA
1 - 1
FKG
34%
27%
40%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
FKG
0 - 1
ZEN
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
AVA
2 - 0
FKG
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
FKG
0 - 2
AVA
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
VIT
0 - 2
FKG
57%
25%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Kaluga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
KAL
0 - 1
LOK
46%
26%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
MET
1 - 0
KAL
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
KAL
2 - 1
POD
62%
22%
16%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
POD
0 - 1
KAL
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
KAL
1 - 1
SAL
22%
26%
52%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |