Gubkin vs Avangard Kursk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gubkin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
VIT
0 - 2
FKG
57%
25%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
FKG
2 - 1
SOK
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
ZVE
0 - 0
FKG
29%
26%
45%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
FKG
2 - 3
MET
47%
25%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FKG
2 - 1
LOK
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
AVA
1 - 2
LOK
69%
19%
11%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
MET
1 - 2
AVA
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
AVA
3 - 1
POD
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SAL
1 - 0
AVA
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
AVA
1 - 2
ORE
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |