Gostivar vs Tikvesh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
40.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
4º
12º
9º
44
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gostivar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 0
GOS
60%
24%
16%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
FKS
2 - 4
GOS
24%
24%
52%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
FKQ
3 - 1
GOS
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
KAR
0 - 2
GOS
21%
25%
54%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
GOS
4 - 0
FKB
88%
10%
3%
|
56 | 22 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Tikvesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
TIK
1 - 0
MAK
35%
27%
39%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
TIK
2 - 1
VAN
82%
12%
6%
|
60 | 30 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
POB
1 - 4
TIK
18%
23%
59%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
TIK
4 - 0
FKS
62%
23%
16%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
AKP
1 - 4
TIK
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +2 |