Gostivar vs Shkupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
48.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
4º
12º
9º
62
1º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gostivar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
RAB
0 - 0
GOS
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
GOS
1 - 0
BRE
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
TIK
2 - 2
GOS
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
GOS
2 - 1
FCS
27%
28%
45%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
AKP
0 - 0
GOS
53%
23%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Shkupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SHK
1 - 0
MAK
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
FKS
0 - 3
SHK
9%
17%
74%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SIL
2 - 1
SHK
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
RAB
0 - 1
SHK
26%
24%
50%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SHK
2 - 0
VAR
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |