Gostivar vs Pelister analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
5º
4º
19
6º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
37 | 44 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 44 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 44 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 39 |
5º
|
68.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 29 |
6º
|
82.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 23 |
7º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 23 |
8º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 18 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 17 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 17 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 16 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
11% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
40% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
49% | 81.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 18% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gostivar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
GOS
4 - 1
AKP
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
GOS
1 - 0
BRE
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
RAB
1 - 0
GOS
46%
27%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
GOS
1 - 1
BES
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
GOS
3 - 1
POB
82%
13%
5%
|
60 | 29 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Pelister
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
VOK
1 - 1
PEL
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
PEL
1 - 1
DEP
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
PEL
0 - 0
SHK
21%
27%
52%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
PEL
0 - 0
TIK
37%
27%
37%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
AKP
4 - 0
PEL
49%
25%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |