Gostivar vs Makedonija GP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
4º
12º
9º
32
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gostivar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 0
GOS
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
GOS
0 - 0
VAR
54%
25%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
VOK
1 - 1
GOS
44%
27%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
GOS
2 - 0
AKP
45%
27%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SHK
2 - 2
GOS
58%
24%
17%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Makedonija GP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SIL
2 - 1
MAK
52%
24%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MAK
1 - 0
TIK
33%
29%
38%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SIL
1 - 0
MAK
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 1
MAK
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MAK
1 - 2
VOK
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |