Gostivar vs AP Brera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
4º
12º
9º
39
1º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gostivar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
GOS
2 - 1
TIK
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SIL
0 - 0
GOS
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
GOS
1 - 4
MAK
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 0
GOS
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
GOS
0 - 0
VAR
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
AKP
1 - 0
VOK
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
TIK
3 - 1
AKP
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
AKP
2 - 1
RAB
46%
27%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SIL
2 - 1
AKP
52%
26%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FCS
3 - 1
AKP
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |