Glubokoe vs Niva Tolochin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
31.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
8º
10º
8º
24
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 47 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 46 |
2º
|
70.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
42.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
76.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 14 |
8º
|
84% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glubokoe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SEN
8 - 0
FKG
74%
14%
12%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FKG
1 - 4
MIO
10%
13%
77%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
FKP
3 - 1
FKG
68%
17%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
FKG
0 - 4
GAV
10%
18%
72%
|
19 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
POL
3 - 0
FKG
65%
17%
18%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Niva Tolochin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NIT
0 - 3
GOL
27%
20%
53%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DYO
6 - 2
NIT
75%
14%
11%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
FKL
1 - 6
NIT
35%
21%
45%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
NIT
6 - 3
SEN
30%
21%
49%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MIO
2 - 0
NIT
90%
7%
3%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |