Forte Taganrog vs Spartak Nalchik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
4º
13º
5º
34
5º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
77% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
77% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
92% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
92% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forte Taganrog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MAS
0 - 1
FOT
18%
23%
60%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
ETK
0 - 1
FOT
7%
13%
81%
|
44 | 15 | 29 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FOT
0 - 0
CHA
20%
24%
56%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SKA
3 - 1
FOT
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FOT
2 - 2
DIN
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Nalchik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NAL
1 - 0
ETK
85%
11%
4%
|
42 | 15 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 1
NAL
71%
19%
10%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
NAL
1 - 1
SKA
26%
27%
48%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
DIN
3 - 4
NAL
36%
27%
37%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
NAL
1 - 1
SAI
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |