Forte Taganrog vs Pobeda Khasavyurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
10º
1º
22
10º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 66 |
1º
|
72.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 62 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 61 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 59 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 54 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 53 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 51 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 46 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 45 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 41 |
10º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 38 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 37 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 34 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 34 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 30 |
15º
|
54.5% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 21 |
16º
|
70.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 17 |
17º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
72.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
27.5% | 95% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forte Taganrog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FOT
2 - 1
FKK
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
AST
0 - 3
FOT
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
FOT
0 - 1
FKK
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FOT
5 - 1
ROS
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DDA
1 - 0
FOT
18%
23%
59%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Pobeda Khasavyurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RUB
2 - 0
FKP
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FKP
2 - 0
ALA
78%
14%
8%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ANG
0 - 2
FKP
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FKP
0 - 1
DMA
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
VOL
3 - 1
FKP
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | 0 |