MFK Dukla vs Zlaté Moravce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
3º
3º
12
5º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
27 | 17 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 17 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
1º
|
51 | 17 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 15 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
12 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MFK Dukla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SKA
1 - 2
FKD
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FKD
1 - 1
FKK
66%
20%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
TNV
2 - 0
FKD
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
FKD
1 - 1
TRE
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ZMO
0 - 2
FKD
17%
22%
62%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Zlaté Moravce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ZMO
0 - 2
ZEM
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ZEM
4 - 1
ZMO
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ZMO
2 - 4
RUZ
15%
23%
61%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SBR
4 - 1
ZMO
79%
15%
6%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ZMO
0 - 2
FKD
17%
22%
62%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |