MFK Dukla vs Podbrezová analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
31.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
10º
9º
25
5º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 51 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 45 |
2º
|
76.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 43 |
3º
|
79.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 31 |
4º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 29 |
5º
|
37% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 27 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 27 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 22 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 21 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 21 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 21 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 18 |
12º
|
64% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 95% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MFK Dukla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SBR
3 - 1
FKD
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
FKD
6 - 1
TRE
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
DAC
0 - 0
FKD
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
DAC
0 - 2
FKD
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SKA
1 - 0
FKD
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Podbrezová
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
POD
0 - 0
DAC
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
SKA
1 - 2
POD
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
TNV
1 - 1
POD
41%
24%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
POD
0 - 0
FKK
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
POD
1 - 3
SBR
40%
24%
36%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |