MFK Dukla vs DAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
3º
9º
5º
7
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 43 |
1º
|
38% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 42 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 34 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
|
5º
|
7 | 32 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
|
6º
|
7 | 31 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 31 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 30 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 30 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 25 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 20 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 19 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 19 |
12º
|
25.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
55.5% | 71.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
44.5% | 28.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MFK Dukla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FKD
1 - 1
SKA
55%
23%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
RUZ
1 - 1
FKD
40%
26%
33%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FKD
2 - 2
SKA
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
TRE
2 - 0
FKD
44%
24%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
FKD
2 - 1
FKK
67%
19%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
DAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
DAC
2 - 0
KOM
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
DAC
1 - 2
ZIR
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FKK
2 - 2
DAC
23%
26%
51%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
ZIR
4 - 0
DAC
31%
26%
44%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
DAC
3 - 2
OSI
31%
25%
44%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |