Desna Sub 21 vs Mariupol Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
57.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6%
1-3
7%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desna Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
DES
0 - 0
VOP
22%
23%
55%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
KOK
8 - 0
DES
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
DES
3 - 4
LVI
36%
22%
42%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
DES
3 - 1
FCM
40%
22%
38%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
OLE
4 - 0
DES
79%
14%
7%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Mariupol Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
ILL
1 - 5
DYN
11%
18%
71%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
LVI
1 - 2
ILL
41%
23%
36%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
RYV
1 - 0
ILL
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
OLD
1 - 5
ILL
24%
21%
55%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
SHD
4 - 0
ILL
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |