Daugava Riga vs Ventspils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
59.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Daugava Riga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2015 |
FCS
2 - 0
FKD
62%
20%
18%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
FCS
4 - 1
FKD
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
FKD
1 - 3
FKJ
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
FKS
1 - 0
FKD
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
FKD
2 - 4
LIE
45%
26%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2015 |
VEN
0 - 5
FCS
42%
25%
34%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
FSM
1 - 5
VEN
8%
16%
77%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
BFC
0 - 2
VEN
11%
17%
72%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
VEN
4 - 0
FCD
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
VEN
2 - 0
BFC
74%
18%
8%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |